Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.326221 0.429693 0.542984 0.674343 0.820762 0.977478 1.156503
2025-08-31 0.168771 0.296587 0.454894 0.655500 0.894959 1.165240 1.487649
2025-09-07 0.102916 0.235800 0.417817 0.663065 0.968397 1.323495 1.756846
2025-09-14 0.056070 0.182526 0.377259 0.656228 1.017136 1.447786 1.983274
2025-09-21 0.025119 0.136830 0.335386 0.638412 1.044916 1.541227 2.168389
2025-09-28 0.014501 0.123458 0.337862 0.677917 1.143562 1.719218 2.452875
2025-10-05 0.008514 0.116313 0.348129 0.726991 1.253760 1.910894 2.753503
2025-10-12 0.003765 0.106163 0.350863 0.763738 1.346815 2.080785 3.027573
2025-10-19 0.001969 0.105082 0.369068 0.822987 1.469781 2.288110 3.347249
2025-10-26 0.000501 0.099502 0.377544 0.866921 1.571762 2.468917 3.634647
2025-11-02 NaN 0.084301 0.364289 0.875970 1.625286 2.587821 3.845900
2025-11-09 NaN 0.056072 0.315998 0.825788 1.594436 2.597296 3.921062
2025-11-16 NaN 0.031524 0.265305 0.768379 1.553641 2.596479 3.988155
2025-11-23 NaN 0.019251 0.238773 0.748383 1.564489 2.662006 4.137824
2025-11-30 NaN 0.013511 0.229053 0.756439 1.615056 2.778863 4.351175
2025-12-07 NaN 0.007572 0.212052 0.749124 1.641829 2.863585 4.523591
2025-12-14 NaN 0.002831 0.190316 0.730010 1.649353 2.921609 4.661385
2025-12-21 NaN 0.002628 0.199592 0.772365 1.750573 3.105842 4.960357
2025-12-28 NaN 0.002940 0.213815 0.824871 1.867526 3.311508 5.286963
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002589 0.221505 0.864116 1.964184 3.489874 5.578839
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003412 0.240873 0.927275 2.097764 3.718333 5.935017
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003407 0.252162 0.974024 2.206197 3.912922 6.248043
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001807 0.245394 0.983645 2.257396 4.030084 6.462037